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August 27, 2008 | 9:09 am

Obama NOT gaining evangelical voters

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I know that headline runs contrary to what I’ve written before—in July an informal Christianity Today poll found that about 51 percent of respondents supported Barack Obama, compared to 41 percent for John McCain. But another unscientific

more-scientific survey, this one from Crosswalk.com, a site popular with evangelical Christians, discovered Obama’s evangelical outreach is in the depths of despair.

The poll, via the Bible Belt Blogger, found that only 5 percent—close to zero when considering the margin of error for a scientific survey—plan to vote for Obama. McCain stands to receive 81 percent of these 777 voters.

And with such a perfect number of participants, how could this poll be wrong?

Posted by Brad A. Greenberg in God for President | 2 Comments — Leave your comment

Tags: barack obama, evangelicals, john mccain, president 08

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Hi Brad,

Actually - with an online poll like ChristianityToday’s, although relevant, do not produce reliable data because individuals, especially those who want to show the sway toward Obama, can go to the same poll and vote multiple times. However, the Crosswalk.com survey was a nationnwide one-time, random-dialed with control group email survey to Crosswalk.com subscribers. With over 780 polled, we reached statistical relevancy with a +/- 3 margin error.

Comment by Kristie Rutzel on 8/27/08 at 11:46 am

Worth asking -
IF the more accurate poll shows low evangelical scores for Obama
AND a poll where cheating is possible shows higher scores for Obama
THEN 1) why are Obama supporters less inhibited to cheat?
OR 2) conversely less inhibited to lie about being evangelical?

Maybe Obama is the Reuben Studdard of politics. Or maybe I’m misinterpreting. Is there another explanation, like maybe McCain supporters just don’t tend to vote in polls that allow cheating, or maybe Obama supporters don’t tend to vote in polls that don’t allow cheating, or ... ?

Comment by Ben Plonie on 8/27/08 at 12:55 pm

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