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July 25, 2008 | 6:18 pm

Keep sweating those evangelical votes, Obama

Posted by Brad A. Greenberg

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Evangelical voice James Dobson

It appears ChristianityToday.com’s survey of evangelicals voters, which showed Barack Obama edging John McCain, was as inaccurate as it was unscientific, at least for Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. The latest results from the Quinnipiac Poll found McCain the evangelical favorite by 62 points—78 percent to 16 percent—in Colorado; that’s James Dobson country.

But the poll also showed, as Spiritual Politics notes, that evangelical support for McCain, though still the favorite, was not as overwhelming in the upper Midwest: 60 percent to 27 percent in Michigan, 62 to 30 in Minnesota and 54 to 34 in Wisconsin. Those numbers, though still losers, could set off that “political earthquake” John Green at Pew warned us about.

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In the immortal words, of Gomer Pyle, “Surprahz, surprahz!

Why am I not surprised? Because I predicted as much on your first post ion this topic. By the way, do you really think a ration of greater than two to one is not politically overwhelming? What is going to change their minds? Infidelity is the past. Elections are about the future.

Comment by Ben Plonie on 7/27/08 at 3:15 am

The truth is that neither of these putative candidates excites evangelicals (or the center in general). It would not be surprising to see a low turnout with a survey showing that more than half the country went to sleep not knowing or caring who won. The Bush evangelicals will tilt for McCain, and the Carter evangelicals will tilt for Obama. It’s like good cholesterol vs. bad cholesterol. That’s all I can fortell for now.

Comment by Ben Plonie on 8/11/08 at 6:50 pm

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