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  • The 2013 campaign: 5 days, 34 mandates, 67 votes, 8 lost - or maybe not

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 17, 2013 | 9:07 am

    Election Day is just a few days away, so focusing our attention mostly on Israeli politics seems natural – if exhausting at times. What we have for you today are two things:

     

    1.

    The updated Poll Trend Tracker (by Prof. Camil Fuchs) and its weekly analysis of the polling...

  • The no-alternative Israeli elections

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 16, 2013 | 11:09 am

    The story of the upcoming Israeli elections, which will take place on Jan. 22, can be written in many different ways. 

    One is with an eye to the small numbers, a story of preserving the political status quo: Back in 2009, the Kadima Party got 28 mandates. In 2013, if polls are to...

  • Two weeks to D-day, and they haven’t yet decided (or have they?)

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 10, 2013 | 4:47 pm

    Less than two weeks before the election, and here is a seeming paradox: on the one hand, the spread between the two blocs (Likud-Right-Religious versus the Center-Left) is as wide as it has been for the last two months, but on the other hand the pundits and the statisticians...

  • Are Israelis already thinking about the next round? 11 short notes, 2 great graphs

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 6, 2013 | 8:49 am

    This is going to be short, as I'm sure you have no time for long election coverage, especially as we all know who's going to be the next PM.

    1.

    Don't waste too much of your time paying attention to a possible "united bloc" of the center-left. A. Because this is mostly spin...

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  • Craziest election developments of the week: Livni coming, Barak going

    By Shmuel Rosner

    November 26, 2012 | 7:16 am

    This might be the craziest election cycle in the history of Israel. It is short, but not a week passes without shifts and changes in the political landscape – today, it was Defense Minister Ehud Barak resigning from his post to pursue new horizons. Barak is the cat with the seven...

  • The meaning of Bieberman

    By Shmuel Rosner

    October 31, 2012 | 10:30 am

    It was another last-minute political bombshell from the Benjamin Netanyahu shock-factory. Without anyone expecting it, last Thursday the prime minister and his foreign minister, Avigdor Lieberman, astonished Israelis with the announcement that their parties – the ruling Likud Party...

  • The Israelis who would not support Diaspora Jews

    By Shmuel Rosner

    June 28, 2012 | 10:14 am

    I was not exactly kind to previous B’nai B’rith surveys of contemporary Israeli ‎attitudes toward Diaspora Jewry, and maybe that’s why the most recent survey was ‎not sent to me by the organization, but rather brought to my attention by other means. ‎It is a poll that still...

  • NEW: Tracking the trends in Israeli elections season

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 3, 2012 | 5:27 pm

    I’ll start with the following three facts:

    1. Israel’s election is four months away. It is almost certainly to be held on September 4.

    2. Benjamin Netanyahu, the head of the Likud Party, will almost certainly be the next Israeli Prime Minister. That is, if the polls are...

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