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Tag: Presidential Elections

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  • Why (some) Jews switched their vote from Dem to GOP, and vice versa

    By Shmuel Rosner

    December 30, 2012 | 7:40 am

    There are no earth-shattering revelations in "What’s the Matter with Palm Beach County?" - a paper about the 2012 Jewish vote prepared by Eric Uslaner, a professor of the Department of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland. But it's a coherent and interesting paper....

  • Partisan Jewish groups focus on budget in assessing Ryan pick

    August 12, 2012 | 10:57 am

    Partisan Jewish groups focused on Paul Ryan’s leading role in the budget stand-off in assessing Mitt Romney’s pick as running mate.

    Rep. Ryan (R-Wis.), the chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives budget committee, has taken a lead role in the stand-off between the White House...

  • The latest poll: 55% Democrat, 22% Republican

    By Shmuel Rosner

    June 6, 2012 | 8:59 am

    In our previous Jewish Party Identification post we were able to bring some ‎order to the seemingly conflicting numbers from different polls - putting the ‎percentage of Jewish Democrats on 65%-68% and the percentage of Jewish ‎Republicans on 27%-29%. What we have in this post...

  • Egypt holds first round of voting in presidential election

    May 24, 2012 | 8:50 am

    Egypt is holding its first round of balloting for its first presidential election since the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak during an uprising more than a year ago. 

    The balloting began its second day Wednesday. Nearly 50 million Egyptians are eligible to vote. 

    Results for...

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  • How many Jewish votes can Romney get?‎

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 21, 2012 | 2:34 pm

    There are the truisms we already know: Jews is news and all its identical twins. ‎And there’s the fact that no matter how tiny the Jewish community might be – ‎‎1.5-2% of the population – the battle for Jewish votes is extensively reported ‎and analyzed. And there’s...

  • The Israel Factor 05.2012, Questionnaire

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 21, 2012 | 2:25 pm

    Please rank the two presidential candidates – Barack Obama and Mitt ‎Romney – from 1 (totally disagree) to 10 (totally agree) on the following ‎issues:

    Issue

    Obama

    Romney

    Is working very hard to show how friendly he is towards ‎Israel

     

     

    Is ‎likely to...

  • The Israel Factor 05.2012, Full Statistics

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 21, 2012 | 1:48 pm

    Please rank the two presidential candidates – Barack Obama and Mitt ‎Romney – from 1 (totally disagree) to 10 (totally agree) on the following ‎issues:

    Issue

    Obama

    Romney

    Is working very hard to show how friendly he is towards ‎Israel

    8

    8.62

    Is ‎likely to...

  • Finally more clarity: 27%-29% of Jews tilt Republican‎

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 2, 2012 | 10:35 am

    There’s nothing earth shattering about the new AJC survey of American Jewish ‎opinion. Support for Obama among American Jews is slightly higher today than it was ‎half a year ago, but is still not very high. As Ron Kampeas reported: “The AJC’s new ‎findings are similar to those of...

  • April Israel Factor: Romney trumps Obama. But why?

    By Shmuel Rosner

    April 26, 2012 | 7:19 am

    The two Presidential rivals were closer last month, but the April 2012 survey of ‎the Israel Factor (now part of our exclusive J-Meter feature) draws them apart.

    ‎‎Romney scored 7.22 (out of 10) in March, and is now on 7.5. Obama scored 7.11 ‎last month and is now on 6.9....

  • Care about Iran? You’re more likely to vote Romney

    By Shmuel Rosner

    April 18, 2012 | 11:52 am

    Take a quick look at the following two tables from PEW’s recent report on the politics ‎of Election 2012. These are the topics voters think are important by order:‎

    Photo

    And these are the same priorities divided by party:‎

    Photo

    Note these things:‎

    ‎1.‎ While voters...

  • The Israel Factor: Obama vs. Romney, January 2007

    By Shmuel Rosner

    March 26, 2012 | 2:52 pm

    One of the nicest things about having done The Israel Factor for six years is the ability to find ancient data that still has relevancy today.

    A couple of days ago, sorting through old surveys of the Factor, I found this survey, from January of 2007. It includes a comparison...

  • Is Religion Just About Sex and Guns?

    By Rav Yosef Kanefsky

    March 20, 2012 | 1:14 pm

    When a candidate runs as a devoutly religious person, what kinds of public positions does he or she take? In the political contest playing out in presently, the foreign policy positions of the devoutly religious are hawkish, and their social policy positions are conservative. The...

  • March 13, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    March 13, 2012 | 6:23 am

    In Iran Standoff Netanyahu May Be Bluffing

    Benjamin Netanyahu could be playing a clever game when it comes to Iran, and may well actually be in cahoots with Barack Obama, writes Jeffrey Goldberg in Bloomberg

    The former Israeli military official I spoke with Sunday in Tel Aviv...

  • March 8, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    March 8, 2012 | 5:07 am

    AIPAC Unleashes Partisan Schism On Iran

    Nathan Guttman of The Forward looks at one of the most divisive issues in this American election season, illustrated by the tone at last week’s AIPAC conference.

    Any attempt to exclude Iran from election-year politicking at the AIPAC...

  • Fear of halal meat a presidential campaign issue in France

    By Brad A. Greenberg

    February 19, 2012 | 7:53 pm

    Imagine a key issue in the 2012 U.S. presidential election being a fight over whether Americans were unwillingly being forced to eat kosher food. That is basically the situation in France, where far-right leader Marine Le Pen is stoking anti-immigration fears by claiming that she has...

  • Factor favorite for Secretary of State: Joe Biden

    By Shmuel Rosner

    February 16, 2012 | 9:18 am

    It is really very early in the 2012 game: We don’t yet know who’s going to be the Republican nominee, we don’t know who’s more likely to win between President Obama and the GOP nominee, so talking about the next administration is premature - but still hard to resist. That is,...

  • The Israel Factor 02.2012, Full Statistics

    By Shmuel Rosner

    February 16, 2012 | 8:58 am

    Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be leaving office next year – please grade the following candidates to replace her in an Obama administration (all were mentioned in journalistic reports as possible candidates) with a 1-5 mark, 1 being not so good for Israel, and 5 being...

  • Gingrich, Romney blame Palestinians for lack of peace

    January 27, 2012 | 11:10 am

    Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich put the blame for the impasse in Middle East peace talks squarely on the Palestinians.

    The candidates were responding a a question at the latest GOP debate Thursday night, in Jacksonville, Fla., from an audience member, Abraham Hassan.

    “How would a...

  • The Israel Factor 01.2012, Questionnaire

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 16, 2012 | 7:57 am

    1. On a scale of 1 (not at all worried) to 5 (very worried), how worried were you (or how worried do you think Israel should be) by the following statements and incidents:


    Secretary of State Clinton allegedly comparing Israel to Iran

     

    Secretary of Defense Panetta calling on...

  • The Israel Factor 01.2012, Full Statistics

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 16, 2012 | 7:26 am

    1. On a scale of 1 (not at all worried) to 5 (very worried), how worried were you (or how worried do you think Israel should be) by the following statements and incidents:


    Secretary of State Clinton allegedly comparing Israel to Iran

    2.78

    Secretary of Defense Panetta calling on...

  • Three winners in Iowa and three takeaways for Jews

    January 4, 2012 | 11:00 am

    There were three winners in the Iowa Republic caucus: Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum and, not far behind them, Ron Paul.

    There were also (at least) three takeaways for Jewish observers: Foreign policy matters, evangelicals matter—and Ron Paul matters.

    The importance of foreign policy...

  • After Iowa win, Romney expects rivals to turn up heat

    January 4, 2012 | 10:53 am

    After his razor-thin victory in Iowa, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney on Wednesday predicted “fast and furious” attacks from rivals seeking to oust him from his front-runner perch in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

    Romney edged out Rick Santorum, a...