Jewish Journal

Tag: Israel Coalition

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  • Israel’s Basic Law: Political Survival

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 12, 2015 | 4:02 am

    The 2015 Israeli political circus – also known as the new Israeli coalition – has passed its first test by passing new legislation. If you want to understand why Israel should make no attempt at drafting a constitution, here it is: less than two years ago the Knesset voted for a...

  • Ready for an Election Night surprise?

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 10, 2013 | 8:51 am

    It’s time for another updated Israel Poll Trends tracker, in which you will this week learn some more about the Israelis who aren’t yet decided about their votes – and more importantly, about the probability of a big Election Night surprise. Prof. Camil Fuchs’ graph for this week...

  • The ongoing decline of Likud-Beiteinu

    By Shmuel Rosner

    January 1, 2013 | 5:58 pm

    On the one hand, it isn't easy to imagine an all-but-ensured victorious prime minister who is unhappy: Why would Netanyahu be unhappy when his next term is safe and the next coalition is his to make? On the other hand, it isn't easy to imagine a leader of a party-in-decline for the...

  • The right, the left and the thorny decision

    By Shmuel Rosner

    December 6, 2012 | 6:58 am

    Seven weeks before Israel’s Election Day and it is time we knew who’s running against who. And today is the day: Parties are required to finalize the process of drawing up their lists and locking them down. No more behind-door-negotiations with reluctant political-stars-to-be, no...

  • October 29, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    October 29, 2012 | 3:07 am


    Netanyahu’s Big Gamble

    The prime minister's decision to run alongside Yisrael Beiteinu in the January elections has not been uniformly embraced within both parties, writes Carl Vick for Time.

    Likud in fact came into existence as an blending of right-wing parties,...

  • Confused about the Bibi-Lieberman merger? You’re not alone

    By Shmuel Rosner

    October 26, 2012 | 5:43 am

    Yes, Prime Minister Netanyahu, once again, was able to surprise us all with a new political move – the sudden announcement yesterday that the Likud Party and the Yisrael Beiteinu Party will be running together in this election cycle. Problem is, we don’t know yet what Netanyahu and...

  • Four unsolved questions for Israel’s upcoming elections

    By Shmuel Rosner

    October 9, 2012 | 1:07 pm

    We will have plenty of time to discuss Israel’s upcoming elections – announced today – in the next three months or so. The final date is not yet known, but Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu aims to have them as early as he possibly can, and three months is what the Central Election...

  • Netanyahu’s approval: Still sliding

    By Shmuel Rosner

    August 22, 2012 | 11:02 am

    It has not been a good summer for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. It began with something close to euphoria, as the coalition was broadened to include the Kadima Party and reach a near-record 94 ‎mandates. But the coalition did not exactly thrive: Kadima was forced out when...

  • Poll trends: ‘Likud plus right bloc’ in decline over the draft

    By Shmuel Rosner

    August 1, 2012 | 7:56 am

    Driving around Tel Aviv, one can see buses bearing the signs of the new ‎Kadima Party ad campaign. It’s not usual for a party to campaign when there’s ‎no election date in sight, but Kadima is indeed advertising. Its situation is so ‎bad, and its need for some gains so...

  • Netanyahu Approval tracker: The PM is in the negative zone

    By Shmuel Rosner

    July 24, 2012 | 10:40 am

    With Israel’s political arena in turmoil, the Prime Minister is also suffering. For the first time since last fall, the Benjamin Netanyahu’s approval numbers are negative. For the first time since the release of soldier Gilad Shalit from captivity, more Israelis disprove of...

  • July 18, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    July 19, 2012 | 12:07 am


    Unsettled Times in Israel

    Bernard Gwertzman of the Council on Foreign Relations holds on a wide-ranging conversation with Elliott Abrams about the state of affairs in Israel, including the possibility of new elections, unease over Syria and whether a strike on Iran is...

  • July 18, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    July 18, 2012 | 1:39 am


    A Nuclear-Armed Iran Would Have No Hotline to Avert Catastrophe

    Unlike the US and the Soviet Union or India and Pakistan, there is no direct line of communication between Israel and Iran, which, warns Alan Elsner in Algemeiner, could be disastrous if Iran gains nuclear...

  • Israel poll trend: Charedi draft battle is helping Kadima, hurting Likud

    By Shmuel Rosner

    July 17, 2012 | 9:21 am

    Israel’s political game of maneuvering is now all about the draft. Charedi draft ‎mostly, but also Arab-Israelis’ draft. It is far from clear at this point in time ‎how the battle over the draft will end. But the first casualty of this war is ‎Netanyahu’s 94-member coalition....

  • July 13, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    July 13, 2012 | 3:26 am


    Ehud Olmert could be Israel’s comeback kid

    His acquittal leaves the former prime minister well-placed for a return to politics, something that could change the future of the peace process, writes Nir Eisikovits in Christian Science Monitor.

    Olmert will almost certainly...

  • Five comments on Israel’s political crisis

    By Shmuel Rosner

    July 5, 2012 | 11:40 am


    There is a crisis, and as much as all parties would like to avoid further escalation of it, it’s not at all clear that they still have control over their own fate. Why the crisis? Simply ‎and very briefly put: Kadima joined Netanyahu’s coalition to save itself from...

  • Poll trends: The left-wing option is losing steam

    By Shmuel Rosner

    June 7, 2012 | 8:12 am

    Kadima is in big trouble, and even if the prediction of just three ‎mandates in a poll two weeks ago was an overstatement, the largest Israeli political party really has been bleeding mandates since joining ‎Netanyahu’s coalition. The two most recent polls put Kadima on seven...

  • Poll Trends: Kadima is losing, but Netanyahu isn’t

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 23, 2012 | 7:24 am

    Our weekly update of Israel’s coalition-trend tracker shows that this ‎week the right wing and religious parties (Likud not included) got the ‎lowest combined predicted number of seats (32) since we started tracking polls for the study. At the same time, the number of...

  • Can the new Israeli coalition bring about peace?‎

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 18, 2012 | 4:27 am

    Here are two paragraphs from an article I wrote for the NYT. You can read the full piece here:‎

    Hopes for the resumption of peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians rekindled last week with ‎the creation of a broad and more centrist governing coalition in Israel....

  • Netanyahu’s excuses and the Financial Times’ leaps of logic

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 15, 2012 | 11:11 am

    On the plane from Tel Aviv to Washington DC (where I’m going to be spending a ‎few days), I got a copy of the Financial Times, and one headline caught my ‎eye: “No more excuses for Netanyahu”. It was the lead editorial of a paper ‎known for being critical of the Israeli...

  • Poll Trend: Elections far off, Netanyahu still strong

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 14, 2012 | 10:48 am

    Our new J-Meter feature – a weekly tracking of Israel’s political poll trend, computed by Prof. Camil Fuchs – has been updated again. Four new polls were added to the mix, all carried in a week in which PM Netanyahu and his new deputy, Kadima leader Shaul Mofaz, stunned...

  • May 11, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 11, 2012 | 1:24 am

    The King is Dead; Long Live the King

    Shimon Stein of the Institute for National Security Studies examines how the election ‎of a socialist president will impact on France’s relations with Israel. ‎

    An examination of the president-elect’s statements and platform show that any...

  • Can mighty Israel (and mighty Netanyahu) make peace?

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 10, 2012 | 10:33 am

    When someone like Fareed Zakaria compliments someone like Binyamin Netanyahu one knows trouble is coming. “He has an unusual, perhaps unique, opportunity to use his new power to secure Israel’s future”, Zakaria writes. Israel, he argues, is strong enough to “move toward a peace...

  • May 8, 2012

    By Shmuel Rosner

    May 8, 2012 | 4:43 am

    Netanyahu is now king of Israeli politics

    By bringing the largest party into his coalition, he prime minister ‎has made himself politically untouchable, writes Yossi Verter in ‎Haaretz. ‎

    After getting over initial feelings of disgust and nausea, you have ‎to admit that...