March 22, 2012 | 1:24 pm
Latest update, Sep. 2013:
Following the death of Frank Lautenberg and Carl Levin's retirement announcment, only one Jewish senator will be facing reelection in 2014. Al Franken is leading his race, so minus 2-3 would be a reasonable projection (that is, unless a replacement for the retiring/losing/deceased candidates will also be Jewish, but that's an unlikely scenario).
2012 was not a good year for new Jewish candidates. All three prospective candidates suffered narrow losses. 2014 is expected (at this point) to be a Republican year – and these usually aren't good years for Jewish candidates. Moreover, most of the states in which a battle is likely to be waged are not Jewishly promising. Hence, at this very early stage we'll put our projection for the 2015 Senate at 8 Jewish senators.
Facing reelection in 2014:
Al Franken (D-MN): Won in 2008 by 0.09 points. Facing reelection in 2014. Tough rematch? Unlikely. "Four years into his term, Franken barely figures into the GOP's calculations for trying to wrest control of the Senate from Democrats. Republicans don't consider him a top target for defeat, and they haven't found a strong challenger in the Democratic-leaning state", the AP reports.
New Candidates 2014:
Brian Schatz (D-HI): Was appointed in late 2012 to succeed the late Senator Daniel Inouye. He faces a tough primary battle: "Polling has shown a close race — a July Civil Beat Poll showed Schatz with a three point lead, 36%-33%.But an EMILY’s List poll showed Hanabusa up nine points, while an internal poll for Schatz’s campaign showed him with a narrow one-point advantage".
Frank Lautenberg: 5-term New Jersey Senator has died at 89 years of age. His succesor is friend of many Jews, but not Jewish.
Facing reelection in 2016:
Chuck Schumer (D-NY): Won in 2010 by 34 points. Facing reelection in 2016
Ron Wyden (D-OR): Won in 2010 by 18 points. Facing reelection in 2016
Barbara Boxer (D-CA): Won in 2010 by 10 points. Facing reelection in 2016
Richard Blumenthal (D-CT): Won in 2010 by 12 points. Facing reelection in 2016
Facing reelection in 2018:
Dianne Feinstein (D-CA): Won in 2012 by 25 points, facing reelection in 2018
Ben Cardin (D-MD): Won in 2012 by 28 points, facing reelection in 2018
Bernie Sanders (I-VT): Won in 2012 by 46 points, facing reelection in 2018
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