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Senate Jewish Projection

by Shmuel Rosner

March 22, 2012 | 1:24 pm

Latest update, June 2014:

Following the death of Frank Lautenberg and Carl Levin's retirement announcement, only one full-term Jewish senator will be facing reelection in 2014: Al Franken. Brian Schatz of Hawaii, appointed in 2012, is also facing election.

Franken’s race isn’t competitive, and he seems likely to win.

Schatz’ real challenge is the Democratic primary, and he also seems to be in good shape.

This means that we expect the number of Jewish Senators in the 2015-2016 Senate to be 9.

Facing reelection in 2014:

Al Franken (D-MN): Won in 2008 by 0.09 points. Facing reelection in 2014. Tough rematch? Unlikely. "Four years into his term, Franken barely figures into the GOP's calculations for trying to wrest control of the Senate from Democrats. Republicans don't consider him a top target for defeat, and they haven't found a strong challenger in the Democratic-leaning state", the AP reported at the middle of last year. More recent polls confirm that Franken still maintains a comfortable lead over his GOP challengers.

Brian Schatz (D-HI): Schatz was appointed in late 2012 to succeed the late Senator Daniel Inouye. Recent polls show him comfortably leading the primary battle. In the general elections this seat is listed as safe or solid Democratic.

Deceased:

Frank Lautenberg: 5-term New Jersey Senator has died at 89 years of age. His succesor is friend of many Jews, but not Jewish.

Retiring:

Carl Levin- The veteran Senator from Michigan has recently anounced he will be retiring in 2014. His succesor will not be Jewish.


Facing reelection in 2016:

Chuck Schumer (D-NY): Won in 2010 by 34 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Ron Wyden (D-OR): Won in 2010 by 18 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Barbara Boxer (D-CA): Won in 2010 by 10 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Richard Blumenthal (D-CT): Won in 2010 by 12 points. Facing reelection in 2016

 

Facing reelection in 2018:

Dianne Feinstein (D-CA): Won in 2012 by 25 points, facing reelection in 2018

Ben Cardin (D-MD): Won in 2012 by 28 points, facing reelection in 2018

Bernie Sanders (I-VT): Won in 2012 by 46 points, facing reelection in 2018

 

 

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