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Senate Jewish Projection

by Shmuel Rosner

March 22, 2012 | 1:24 pm

Latest update, August 2014:

Following the death of Frank Lautenberg and Carl Levin's retirement announcement, only one full-term Jewish senator will be facing reelection in 2014: Al Franken. Brian Schatz of Hawaii, appointed in 2012, is also facing election.

Currently, we still assume that both are likely to win. This means that we expect the number of Jewish Senators in the 2015-2016 Senate to be 9.

 

Facing reelection in 2014:

Al Franken (D-MN): Won in 2008 by 0.09 points. Facing reelection in 2014.  We were taught to believe that Franken’s race isn’t competitive, and he seems likely to win. A report from The Hill points to the possibility of him losing:
 
“Al Franken’s gonna have a fight on his hands. I don’t think there’s any doubt about that,” said Larry Jacobs, a political scientist at the University of Minnesota and director of its Center for the Study of Politics and Governance. 

Brian Schatz (D-HI): Schatz was appointed in late 2012 to succeed the late Senator Daniel Inouye. Schatz  won his primary race, as expected. 
 
Mr. Schatz will face Cam Cavasso, a Republican, in the November general election. No Republican has won a Senate race in Hawaii since 1970.

 

Deceased:

Frank Lautenberg: 5-term New Jersey Senator has died at 89 years of age. His succesor is friend of many Jews, but not Jewish.

Retiring:

Carl Levin- The veteran Senator from Michigan has recently anounced he will be retiring in 2014. His succesor will not be Jewish.


Facing reelection in 2016:

Chuck Schumer (D-NY): Won in 2010 by 34 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Ron Wyden (D-OR): Won in 2010 by 18 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Barbara Boxer (D-CA): Won in 2010 by 10 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Richard Blumenthal (D-CT): Won in 2010 by 12 points. Facing reelection in 2016

Facing reelection in 2018:

Dianne Feinstein (D-CA): Won in 2012 by 25 points, facing reelection in 2018

Ben Cardin (D-MD): Won in 2012 by 28 points, facing reelection in 2018

Bernie Sanders (I-VT): Won in 2012 by 46 points, facing reelection in 2018

 

 

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