Jewish Journal


Poll Trends: Kadima is losing, but Netanyahu isn’t

by Shmuel Rosner

May 23, 2012 | 7:24 am

Our weekly update of Israel’s coalition-trend tracker shows that this ‎week the right wing and religious parties (Likud not included) got the ‎lowest combined predicted number of seats (32) since we started tracking polls for the study. At the same time, the number of ‎predicted seats for the hard-core left (Meretz, Hadash, Balad, Raam-‎Taal) equals its highest (16) registered in the period of the study. We ‎observe this slight change with caution, as these numbers were ‎strongly affected by the results of one poll. ‎

See our latest installment of the Israel Poll Trends for more details and ‎numbers.‎

Learn more about the J-Meter, and about our residence statistician, Prof. ‎Camil Fuchs.‎

Also note that our Israel Factor survey for May 2012 was just posted. Our ‎panel predicts that GOP candidate Mitt Romney will get 29.5% of the ‎Jewish vote (down from its 34% prediction back in January). Also, the ‎gap between Romney and Obama narrows. Details are all to be found at ‎the Factor page.‎

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