Our weekly update of Israel’s coalition-trend tracker shows that this week the right wing and religious parties (Likud not included) got the lowest combined predicted number of seats (32) since we started tracking polls for the study. At the same time, the number of predicted seats for the hard-core left (Meretz, Hadash, Balad, Raam-Taal) equals its highest (16) registered in the period of the study. We observe this slight change with caution, as these numbers were strongly affected by the results of one poll.
See our latest installment of the Israel Poll Trends for more details and numbers.
Also note that our Israel Factor survey for May 2012 was just posted. Our panel predicts that GOP candidate Mitt Romney will get 29.5% of the Jewish vote (down from its 34% prediction back in January). Also, the gap between Romney and Obama narrows. Details are all to be found at the Factor page.