A lot depends on the smallest parties, that is, the two parties that still – according to polls – might fail to pass the electoral threshold.
Eli Yashai's Yachad on the far right, and Meretz on the far left are both essential to Netanyahu and Herzog, respectively. If Yishai fails to get in, and almost 4 mandates are lost to the right wing bloc, Netanyahu (according to current polls) can't form a coalition without Lieberman, and Lieberman's mood can be shifty. If Meretz doesn't get in, Herzog's situation – that is complicated to begin with – becomes almost irreparable.
The good news for Netanyahu: Yachad is climbing in the polls and has 5 in most of them. The good news for Herzog: Meretz is also climbing to 5 in most polls. Yet the news is better for Netanyahu than for Herzog for two reasons. One – Netanyahu is in better shape to form a coalition. Two – Yachad takes votes away from parties other than Netanyahu's Likud. The votes that maintain Meretz are votes that could potentially benefit Herzog's The Zionist Camp.
Here's an updated graph of the Likud-Labor (+Livni) situation:
Here's an updated graph from Nehemia Gershuni's Project 61 projection site:
And here's the table of recent polls:
All right: Likud+Yisrael Beitenu+Habayit Hayehudi+Yachad (Eli Yishai)
All center: Yesh Atid+Hatnua+Kadima+ Kulanu
All left: Labor+Meretz+Hatnua
All religious: Jewih Home+Shas+Yahadut Hatorah+Yachad (Eli Yishai)
All Arab: Hadash+Raam Taal+Balad
You can find the full table of polls (since the last elections) right here.
We welcome your feedback.
Your information will not be shared or sold without your consent. Get all the details.
Terms of Service
JewishJournal.com has rules for its commenting community.Get all the details.
JewishJournal.com reserves the right to use your comment in our weekly print publication.