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March 22, 2012 | 10:30 am
Tracking Opinion on Attacking Iran
Recent News
US Attack on Iran
A new PEW survey about Israel and Iran states that 'Opinions about the use of military action to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons also have not changed much in recent years. Currently, 64% say it is more important to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action; 25% say it is more important to avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons.'
US Support for an Israeli Attack
A poll, conducted by CNN/ORC, asked the American public the following question:
Attitudes toward Iran
A Gallup poll conducted this February shows that the vast majority (83%) of Americans believe that Iran's nuclear program is 'a critical threat to the vital interests of the United States'. Iran also finished last in Gallup's 'country favorability ranking' compiled on the same dates: a whopping 87% of Americans have an 'unfavorable' attitude towards Iran while only 9% view the country favorably.
A fascinating comprehensive survey conducted by James Zogby in 20 Arab countries (Published late February 2013) points out 'a growing antipathy toward Iran across the Arab World and among Iran’s non-Arab neighbors'. The survey shows that Iran is currently viewed unfavorably in 14 of the 20 Arab countries covered in the study; that only 3 of the 20 countries view Iran as a 'good role model to follow';and that majorities in 16 of the 20 countries agree that Iran is contributing to a sectarian division in the Arab world. Definitely worth a look.
Iranian Attitudes
In February Gallup published the results of an intriguing poll tracking the Iranian public's attitude toward the severe international sanctions imposed on Iran by the international community. According to the poll (conducted between mid-December and mid-January), '48% say sanctions have affected their own personal livelihoods a great deal and another 35% say somewhat'. When asked who is most responsible for the sanctions, only 10% answered 'the Iranian Government' while 47% blamed the US.
US Public Opinion- Attack or no attack?
| Question | Poll | Date | Attack | No Attack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| "In your opinion, which is more important: to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action, OR to avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons?" | PEW |
March 2013 |
64 | 25 |
| In a dispute over Iran’s nuclear program, what’s more important - take a firm stand (placed in 'Attack' column) or avoid military conflict with Iran? | PEW | October 2012 | 56 | 35 |
| Would you support the United States of America participating in a pre-emptive strike against Iran’s nuclear enrichment program? | IPSOS | October 2012 | 59 | 41 |
| Regarding the possibility of Iranian nuclear weapons, in your opinion, which is more important: Preventing Iran from getting nuclear weapons, even if it means taking U.S. military action to do so, or avoiding military conflict with Iran, even if that means they could develop nuclear weapons? | Foreign Policy Initiative | September 2012 | 62 | 23 |
| In your opinion, which is more important - preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action OR avoiding a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons? | PEW | May 2012 | 63 | 28 |
Attack, diplomacy or no attack?
| Question | Poll | Date | Attack | Diplomacy | No Attack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Do you think it’s a better idea to attack Iran soon, before its nuclear program progresses any further, even if that means not waiting to see if economic sanctions work; or a better idea to see first if economic sanctions against Iran work, even if that allows more time for its nuclear program to progress? | ABC News/Washington Post Poll | March 7-10, 2012 | 26 | 64 | 4 |
| If Iran continues with its nuclear research and is close to developing a nuclear weapon, which ONE statement best describes what you think? The U.S. should take direct military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make a nuclear weapon. The U.S. should take no direct military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make a nuclear weapon but should support Israel if it takes military action The U.S. should take stronger diplomatic and economic action to put pressure on Iran but should take no military action. The U.S. should take no action unless Iran attacks the U.S. or its allies. | CNN/ORC Poll | Feb. 10-13, 2012 | 17 | 60 | 22 |
| “What do you think the United States should do to get Iran to shut down its nuclear program: take military action against Iran now, use economic and diplomatic efforts but not take military action right now, or take no action against Iran at this time? | CNN/ORC Poll | Nov. 2011 | 16 | 65 | 17 |
Click here for the full table
More from the J-Meter
Striking Iran, questions and assumptions
May 25, 2012 | 9:48 am
A new poll shows wide and growing support for a military strike to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, but the talks between the international community and Iran have the potential to sway public opinion.
Care about Iran? You’re more likely to vote Romney
April 18, 2012 | 11:52 am
While voters preferring Obama say they care about foreign policy more than Romney-leaning voters, all of the issues Obama voters really care most about are domestic issues.
Do Israelis support an attack on Iran?
April 3, 2012 | 7:20 am
Two different polls show two very different results on what Israelis think about possible military action against Iran's nuclear program, but why?
Factor panel: Israel can’t act in Iran without Obama’s consent
March 22, 2012 | 8:18 am
Seven out of our ten-strong panel do not believe that Israel can launch an attack on Iran without reaching some kind of understanding with Obama. In other words, they don’t really buy the subtle threat hidden repeatedly in Netanyahu’s speeches.
Gambling on not attacking Iran
March 16, 2012 | 11:52 am
David Grossman and Fareed Zakaria make different cases for not attacking Iran - both are wrong.
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